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      I am unintersted in “hope.” Or as we called it in the Obama bullshit years, Hopium. Hope is not a plan. Hope is bullshit. Luck is real, but you don’t count on luck other than in the sense that the harder you work, and the more things you do, the more likely you are to […]
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PUMAs are neck-snapping Obama’s lead in FL

The Florida PUMA is prowling!

On Friday, I reported the latest SUSA polls with the following breakdown for Florida:

  • 52% of Hispanics are voting McCain
  • 22% of African-Americans are voting McCain (WOW!)
  • 13% of Liberals are voting McCain
  • 39% of Moderates are voting McCain
  • 34% of Pro-Choice voters are voting McCain
  • 53% of Central Florida is voting McCain
  • 18% of registered Democrats are voting McCain
  • 44% of Independents are voting McCain
  • 39% of non-Religious people are voting McCain.

Now, Real Clear Politics has THIS to report:

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample MoE Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/16 – 10/26 47.7 45.8 Obama +1.9
Reuters/Zogby 10/23 – 10/26 603 LV 4.1 47 47 Tie
Politico/InAdv 10/22 – 10/22 562 LV 5.0 48 47 Obama +1
St. Petersburg Times 10/20 – 10/22 800 RV 3.5 49 42 Obama +7
NBC/Mason-Dixon 10/20 – 10/21 625 LV 4.0 45 46 McCain +1
FOX News/Rasmussen 10/19 – 10/19 1000 LV 3.0 48 49 McCain +1
Quinnipiac 10/16 – 10/21 1433 LV 2.6 49 44 Obama +5

See All Florida: McCain vs. Obama Polling Data

Don’t believe the Hype – PUMA is in effect!

We do have a horse in this race, and it’s called DEMOCRACY.  DON’T GIVE UP!

(at MYIQ’s request, I changed the song for the O-Bots)

Tuesday: Number Sense

There is an article in the NYTimes this morning about the human ability to approximate numbers of items and how this is correlated to the ability to do more abstract math.  There’s a little test you can take that will show you how good you are at this.  (I scored a 88%.  Nyah-Nyah!)

Can we apply these same skills to electoral vote maps?

Here’s the link to the latest 270 to Win map.  These are current numbers.  Do you see more blue or red?

How about the latest Hominid Views simulation map?

Well, more red than last week anyway.

Whoo-WEE! Check out how pale NY is these days.

What about Real Clear Politics electoral vote map?

I don’t know about you guys, but I’m seeing more red.  My sense is that Obama is going to lose.  Not only that but the lightening up of PA, NJ and NY is not a good sign.

But what do I know?  I’m just a girl and everyone knows that girls are not good at math.

BTW:  Today is primary day in Massachusetts! If you live in MA, go out and vote for Ed O’Reilly for the US Senate and send a message to John Kerry and the DNC.