• Tips gratefully accepted here. Thanks!:

  • Recent Comments

    eurobrat on One Tiny Mistake…
    Ivory Bill Woodpecke… on Evil people want to shove a so…
    Ivory Bill Woodpecke… on Evil people want to shove a so…
    riverdaughter on Evil people want to shove a so…
    campskunk on Evil people want to shove a so…
    eurobrat on D E F A U L T
    Ivory Bill Woodpecke… on Tina Turner (1939-2023)
    jmac on D E F A U L T
    jmac on Does Game Theory Even Help Us…
    William on Does Game Theory Even Help Us…
    William on Does Game Theory Even Help Us…
    jmac on Does Game Theory Even Help Us…
    William on Does Game Theory Even Help Us…
    Propertius on Does Game Theory Even Help Us…
    Propertius on Does Game Theory Even Help Us…
  • Categories


  • Tags

    abortion Add new tag Afghanistan Al Franken Anglachel Atrios bankers Barack Obama Bernie Sanders big pharma Bill Clinton cocktails Conflucians Say Dailykos Democratic Party Democrats Digby DNC Donald Trump Donna Brazile Economy Elizabeth Warren feminism Florida Fox News General Glenn Beck Glenn Greenwald Goldman Sachs health care Health Care Reform Hillary Clinton Howard Dean John Edwards John McCain Jon Corzine Karl Rove Matt Taibbi Media medicare Michelle Obama Michigan misogyny Mitt Romney Morning Edition Morning News Links Nancy Pelosi New Jersey news NO WE WON'T Obama Obamacare OccupyWallStreet occupy wall street Open thread Paul Krugman Politics Presidential Election 2008 PUMA racism Republicans research Sarah Palin sexism Single Payer snark Social Security Supreme Court Terry Gross Texas Tim Geithner unemployment Wall Street WikiLeaks women
  • Archives

  • History

    May 2023
    S M T W T F S
     123456
    78910111213
    14151617181920
    21222324252627
    28293031  
  • RSS Paul Krugman: Conscience of a Liberal

    • An error has occurred; the feed is probably down. Try again later.
  • The Confluence

    The Confluence

  • RSS Suburban Guerrilla

  • RSS Ian Welsh

  • Top Posts

Saturday: 1 MILLION Visitors

It *could* happen today but you’re probably all planning to weed your gardens or go to the shore or something like that. So, tomorrow for sure.

This morning, I’d like to address something that has been bugging me for a few days now. I haven’t been able to write about much of anything since my access to the page has been disabled at work. I don’t think The Confluence was singled out. The IT Nazis have been disabling everything that has “wordpress” or “blogpsot” or “typepad” in the domain name so as you might imagine I’m restricted to reading TaylorMarsh and TalkLeft. And it was TaylorMarsh that has my dander up this week.

One of the first things she did after she did her 180 was to write her renunciation of everything Clinton. This is fairly typical of people who want desperately to belong to the winning team. I understand the human nature element of it and to be fair, she wasn’t the only one writing pieces like this. But I thought I would set the record straight: Barack Obama did not run a brilliant winning campaign. He was carried across the finish line by his friends.

In fact, Barack Obama is the weakest candidate we have ever presumed to have nominated. Why? Because by February 5, Clinton’s wins had put her solidly in the lead. It was only by sitting on those two states that Obama was able to pull ahead of her. His claims of victory based on winning 11 straight caucuses and primaries in February would have looked like silly boasting had Florida and Michigan been counted properly. By February 5, Clinton had won, MI, NH, NV, FL, NY, NJ, CA, MA, AZ, TN, AR and some other little states. In any other primary year, that would have been enough to secure her the victory in terms of momentum. It wasn’t what happened after February 5 that mattered; it’s what came before.

If Donna Brazile and the RBC hadn’t decided last year to take FL and MI out of contention, Hillary would be the presumptive nominee. No one can credibly argue that with those two states under her belt that the caucus states would have made a damn bit of difference. The public would have looked at those wins though the lens of reality. They were sparsely populated Republican states that didn’t add up to a hill of beans in the end.

The fact that Obama won them is his triumph and will also be his undoing. Because he was unable to seal the deal in the other big D and swing states, he is going to have to fight the same battle for them in the fall. Come to think of it, why should he bother visiting Idaho ever again? It’s a waste of campaign funds to spend more than a few minutes on the tarmac in Boise. No, it’s going to be the Central Valley and Orange County of California where he is going to fight his toughest battles. Or the Ohio Valley starting in Pittsburgh down to Cinncinnatti. Or the suburbs of NJ, not that far from the World Trade Center and the busiest port on the East coast. He didn’t win there before and he’s going to have to bust his tail to win them in November.

And let’s not forget that despite all of his presumed lead, generously given to him by the Rules and Bylaws committee by sitting on Florida and Michigan, Clinton was winning states right up to the last day of primaries. Yep, even when the nation was screaming for her to get out, Puerto Ricans and South Dakotans voted for her. My friends, that is not the sign of a loser. Hillary was a winner in every sense of the word. She ran a brilliant campaign. What she couldn’t overcome was the betrayal of her own party.

I’m off to clean. Brook has invited several of her friends over to swim and she’s sensitive about what 6 months of blogging has done to the state of my house. Later taters.

One more thing:
I was asked to post this and normally I wouldn’t because, after all, “Friends don’t let Friends vote Republican”, but over the past few days, I’ve been wondering if the Democratic party can survive 4 years of Obama. I’m beginning to think that it can’t, or at least, it will not resemble the party of FDR. It will be the center right party composed of Libertarians and Moderate Republicans who didn’t have power in their own party so they parasitically took over ours, pushing the true Democrats out. Anyway, it’s been on my mind a lot lately so even though I do not plan to vote for McCain, I can’t stop any of you from following your consciences in the voting booth. You may prefer to split your vote and go for 4 years of divided government by voting for downticket Dems. The convention is two months away but we must be prepared to carry out a plan to take back our party. The best way time to take it back is before the convention and that’s what we should work on. But afterwards?

Here’s the mail I received from Paulie:

Hi Everyone:

I need to let those of you who may be interested know that there is a teleconference
scheduled for Saturday, June 14th (Bastille Day!) with John McCain for HRC
supporters at 3:30.
Here is the access info to register for the call:
email: teletownhall@johnmccain.com
OR http://cityhall.johnmccain.com

If you can’t participate in the call, but want to submit a question, please send it to MKforhillary@gmail.com

Curious?