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“The Case Of The January 6 Event”

“The Science of Deduction” was the title of an early chapter in the great Sherlock Holmes novella “The Sign of Four.” In my early teens, I became a fan of mystery stories. My parents read them, and so we shared the appreciation, and sometimes we guessed along together. Later, we would watch the best mystery series on television: Inspector Morse (my choice for the best television mystery series ever), Agatha Christie’s Poirot and Marple stories, Elizabeth George’s Inspector Lynley, “Foyle’s War,” P.D. James’ Superintendent Dalgliesh stories.

The first mysteries I read were the wonderful Sherlock Holmes tales, written by Arthur Conan Doyle. Accept no substitutes! Nothing written or directed by Steven Moffatt, or Guy Ritchie, trying to turn Holmes into something that Doyle would never have conceived him as. I am a purist in some things, particularly classic novels, plays, and mysteries.

I would sometimes fantasize about being a famous detective. I liked the ones who were more cerebral than physically daring. Being like Philip Marlowe would be exciting, but dangerous. Ross Macdonald’s superb Lew Archer stories had both elements. But I would rather have been a detective who could solve the complex mysteries from the peacefulness of my study, concentrating on known facts, the interviewing of suspects, and deduction.

Holmes was active, but he would often smoke his pipe at home, and ignore all potential interruptions, to concentrate on the mystery. Rex Stout’s Nero Wolfe was a great fictional creation, a rather corpulent man originally from Montenegro, who hated to ever leave his brownstone, leaving all the legwork to Archie Goodwin. He loved his orchids, gourmet meals created by his cook Fritz, and doing as little work as possible, except when he either needed the money, or was intellectually challenged. I was never as lazy as Wolfe, and never corpulent, but I liked the idea of sitting in bed most of the day, like Wolfe, and solving complex mysteries.

Of course, that was just fantasy. I don’t know how well I would do in such matters. I am not spatial, so the key spatial clues regarding which door the murderer entered; or as in the “locked room mysteries” of John Dickson Carr (the pen name of Carter Dickson), and his also large detective, Gideon Fell, how someone could have committed the crime when the room was locked from both doors. But I think I would have been good with the psychology, the motives, the false clues. When I took depositions as an attorney, I thought I was good at picking up an inconsistency in the testimony, the incongruity, the thing not said, or over-repeated. But I imagine that there are many attorneys who are pretty good at that kind of thing.

This leads me to The Case of The January 6 Event, and what was the plan for it, and what was the intended result? In a murder mystery, the intended result is usually (not always, if you read Agatha Christie’s complex stories) known, it is the murder. The motivations might not be obvious. In our story we need to solve the questions of who planned the dreadful events, who carried them out, and what were the immediate, and then the overarching ,motives?

It seems that we may have a very few months to solve all of this. If the Democrats lose control of the House, the Republicans will shut down the January 6 Committee. The Department of Justice can still investigate, but there is a big step between solving something and actually managing to charge and try and convict someone in this environment. In the classic mysteries, the criminal usually confesses when confronted with the solution to the mystery, or the facts are so overwhelming when presented by the brilliant detective, that the reader is satisfied that justice will be done. Not in this matter, when a Republican president would likely pardon every one of the criminals, and of course there are a good deal more than one.

So we have the events, which no one on the Republican side, except for Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger, will admit was an almost inconceivable crime against this country and its citizens; something plotted by powerful figures, who used others to do much of their dirty work. In the mystery stories, almost everyone wants to see the murderer unmasked, but not in our story, where the Republicans will do everything possible to keep that from happening. So it is like uncovering a criminal ring, which reaches to the highest levels.

I have followed much of this unfolding story, but not in terms of carefully learning every one of the facts, though I intend to watch every second of the June hearings; even though, apparently, and disgracefully, they seem to be scheduled for streaming services, not national television, as in the Watergate hearings. This is not important enough to the news networks, not important enough for the fate of American Democracy?

What is becoming ever more clear, is that there was a great deal of insidious planning done by Republicans in various positions. And, while I would never see Donald Trump as some sort of genius villain who hides behind a facade of stupidity, there is growing evidence that he was involved in all of the planning of what was mistakenly first covered by the media as a boisterous rally which got out of hand, and then as a somewhat haphazard event in which the stormers of the Capitol were dangerous, and some were violent, but were essentially just launched into the building to cause some trouble, make Trump feel vindicated.

It did seem that many Republicans in high positions were shocked at the events, and wanted Trump to stop the mob. Were they pretending? I would think mostly not, but I would not put anything past them. It does seem as if there was a certain group of people which was intimately involved with the planning and execution. And some of them were in Congress.

How the cabal was organized and how they met and communicated, is still to be put together in the hearings which the brilliant and always understated Congressman Jamie Raskin said would blow the roof off the House.

The recent revelations that the Committee seems to have video evidence of Congressman Loudermilk of Georgia, who denied giving a “tour” of the building on January 5, actually giving one to people who later were seen in the violent attack, strongly indicates that there were several Republicans who did this, including Greene, Boebert, Gosar, Cawthorn and others. It appears that these “tours” were specifically designed to be reconnaissance for the terrorist and hate group forces which had come to Washington for the January 6 event.

Right after the terror of that day, I thought, how did the “rioters” know where Speaker Pelosi’s office was? How did they so quickly manage to start searching drawers, looking for certain things? Congressman Clyburn wondered how they found his office, as it was hidden in the building

How did they get in so easily? Did someone unlock the side doors? Who? Why was there an insufficient police presence, why was the National Guard not called up for hours? Who put the pipe bomb outside the DNC Headquarters where Vice President-Elect Harris had been driven that day, and where she was in great danger of being killed if the bomb went off? Why was the supposed Secret Service sweep of that building the day before not successful in finding the bomb?

Steve Bannon, a true Nazi villain if ever I have seen one, boasted the day before, that “they are right over the target.” What did he know? Why did Far Right Congressman Mo Brooks wear a bulletproof vest on that day? Why were the panic buttons in Ayanna Pressley’s office apparently pulled out?

I will speculate that the people in charge of planning this attack intended serious violence, worse than even the killing of police officers, which occurred. They expected at least some of the Democratic members of Congress, very likely including Nancy Pelosi, to be killed. Did they tell the domestic terrorists to do that? Probably not, they would not risk themselves that far.

All they needed to do was allow this group of violent and veritably insane people to march on the Capitol, bring all varieties of weapons, have Trump inflame them by yelling at them they must “fight like hell,” and then unleash them, into the building where doors had been left open, the police presence was insufficient, no national guard was called, and then let them do what they will. “It will be wild,” said Trump a day or two before. What did he mean by that? Why is this statement being mostly ignored, or considered to just be Trump exaggeration?

Trump, and Bannon, and others, knew that there would be extreme violence. Trump would have liked to have seen more killing, mayhem, he thrives on it. What exactly it would be, he probably did not game out, just that it would be “wild.”

What Trump wanted was enough violence and terror to allow him to invoke the Insurrection Act, and declare martial law. Marjorie Taylor Greene, who knows nothing about any aspect of government, wanted Trump to “declare marshal law.” Where did she get that term? Because it had been discussed with her in the plotting of the insurrection and coup. That was the ultimate goal, the killing would be a bonus for them.

Declare martial law, say that there is a grave threat to the country; that various Antifa and BLM factions were behind the violence. Remember that this was the immediate story given out by the Trump forces, until even Kevin McCarthy said, “No, it was MAGA”

The plan was to, with the help of the Far Right media, cast so much shadow and fear, that the declaring of martial law would be seen by many, even some of the mainstream media, as a legitimate response. And of course Joe Biden would not have been certified as President. The Senate would be locked down, or, if it were reconvened, Senator Grassley would stand in for VP Pence, he had earlier said that Pence would not be there. Pence would have been hanged, or whisked away in the Secret Service car, which he refused to be, saying, “I’m not getting in that car.” And why did he say that?

I don’t think that Grassley is so evil as to have been in on the planning of this. He had been told that Pence would not be able to participate, so he would have to preside. Grassley would not have certified the electoral vote. He would have said that there were discrepancies with slates of electors, or vote counts, more time would be needed.

The vote would never be certified. Pence would be dead, or have disappeared, and Trump would have appointed one of his mafia to be VP. There were also the Eastman plans to contest the results in certain states, and throw it into the House state delegations, where Republicans held the majority, and would elect Trump. If that failed or dragged out, Trump would keep the country under martial law.

What could the Democrats do about it? Trump could call out the National Guard to put down fake riots all over the country. The mainstream media eventually would revert to their default of both-sidesing it. Trump would still be President. The Supreme Court would not remove, him. If this were all brought to them, they would make up some decision that Trump should stay as President until martial law is over (about the time that Trump released his tax returns), or 2028. Or they would call for a new election in November of 2021. Who knows?

Maybe they had not completely gamed it all out. Maybe they had. Sean Hannity was made aware of some of it, he expressed doubts about it working, but he was obviously told some specific things. The essential goals for them, were, 1) chaos, and then, 2) power. Use the chaos to take and keep power.. That is what the Nazis did. That is what totalitarians usually do. Keep telling the angry and frightened populace that the totalitarians are saving them from the violent anarchists. Distract by creating crises and violence, and taking advantage of the pandemic, while you continue to hold power. Use the power to gain even more power; take over every apparatus of government; jail or execute anyone offering resistance.

I obviously do not have all the facts and details, but I think that this was the essence of it. And it barely did not work then. Pelosi bravely reconvened the Congress, and Pence certified Biden’s election, But the attempted coup is still ongoing.

The paramount goal of the fascist MAGA forces will be to interfere with, disrupt, muddy these hearings. Get the media to focus on someone’s outburst, or some word that a Committee member used, or news or poll distractions. The goal of the members of the Committee will be to get the truth out, and to actually come to conclusions about it, rather than let the media obscure it with detours and focusing on the unimportant aspects, as they will be pushed to do by the Republican forces which are terrified that the truth will be revealed.

What we could really use now is Hercule Poirot to bring everyone together, while he carefully and meticulously lays out all the facts, and shows how the use of his little grey cells has led him to the irrefutable conclusion. Or Sherlock Holmes, who did not go in for the grand summation, but who would precisely provide the solution to the mystery. Remember, as Holmes told Watson, “When you have eliminated all which is impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.”

Holmes and Poirot and the other legendary detectives were characters of fiction, though sometimes partially based on real people. For all their genius, they almost never had to present their deductions and solutions in front of an audience almost half of which hated them, and wanted to mock and disagree with everything they said. It will be a formidable task, but we will see if this nation still believes in facts, empirical proof, and the power of deductive logic.


6 Responses

  1. It’s been a long time (like since the late ’90s), but the last time I visited my then-Congressman’s office in the Capitol, the Speaker’s office was quite clearly marked and not easy to miss. Do I still think it was an “inside job” and that some Republican representatives were involved? Most definitely, but I’m not sure the ability of some of the insurrectionists to locate Pelosi’s office constitutes proof.

    • You certainly could be right as far as finding the office, though I thought I had read at the time that it was not immediately accessible. But what were they doing opening all her drawers, and taking things out? Looking for the documents of certification of the state results? It seems that they were looking for something, not just scattering things around, and if so, someone directed all of it.

      • The thing that a Holmes or Poirot would do, is look at every single fact, in order to try to tie them up. The media is not in that role, but it is appalling how little they seem to care to put things together, they just sort of shrug. The same thing with the Russian collusion, it all tied together, and they basically, just said, “Huh! Fairly interesting,” and went on to something else in each news cycle. The average person needs to be shown the pattern, as in a trial, or they won’t understand the enormity of what happened. The media is so proud of its hammering away at people in news conferences, but does not seem too interested in “weaving a rug,” as the very intelligent Captain Jarvis would describe his case solving methods to Tod Moran in the very enjoyable Howard Pease mystery sea stories I read.

      • Oh, I’m sure at least some of them had a plan and were looking for specific things. Probably there were also some very stupid useful idiots/fellow-travelers who were just interested in vandalism and larceny. And, of course, my experience there from the late ’90s might also be irrelevant thanks to post 9/11 security precautions. Things might not be so obvious anymore.

    • I think you may have missed a point. The leadership of the Dems in Congress had 2 offices. The public office and the small private and rather secret office that the general public would not have known about or known where it was or how to find it. Apparently not marked as “James Clyburn secret office”.

      • Very good point, and I do think that the insurrectionists were told where to go and perhaps want to look for. i do hope that this is part of the hearings.

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