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    • Rationality Is A Process, Not A Conclusion (Nuclear Weapons Edition)
      A lot of mistakes come from assuming rationality means “thinks the same way I do” rather than “reasons from premises I might not share.” Left than 1/1000 economists predicted the financial collapse, because they reasoned from assumptions like “the market is self-correcting” or “housing prices never go down.” (Sometimes both at the same time, which is rarely […]
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Terrorism, Altruism, Imperialism and other isms with Fiona Hill

You may ask yourself, does RD spend all of her spare time with these very un-fun topics? Yes. Yes I do. Today, I’m sharing a link to a conversation with #globalminds4ukraine and Fiona Hill. If you don’t know who Fiona Hill is, go back to 2019 and the “perfect phone call”. She worked for John Bolton but I get the feeling that Hill is non-denominational when it comes to politics. She’s got criticism for both sides. She’s also a expert on Russia and Putin. I think she got to sit next to putin at a White House dinner and he didn’t know she had studied him. He thought she was part of the low level staff. Well, so did Trump. Her first day at the White House, Trump asked her to take notes like the Secretary.

Until 2019, I’d never heard of Hill and had no idea how knowledgeable she was. But every time I run across one of her podcasts or videos, I find myself absolutely riveted by the breadth, depth and insight into Russian history and culture. One of the takeaways I got from this interview is that making long range forecasts on a current situation isn’t always helpful. You need to consider what is happening in the now because dynamics will change the outcome in sometimes unexpected ways. Very Tolkien.

This video was from a few days ago. There’s not much information on who she is speaking to. I’m guessing they are foreign policy or international studies students from around Ukraine. Hill is realistic and her sign off is hopeful.

I hope you find this video as interesting as I did.

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