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About Conor Lamb’s district.

This Epstein guy at the New York Times is very lazy. He hasn’t been paying ANY attention to the way Pennsylvania redistricted in 2018.

Here’s the way he opens his latest piece:

MT. LEBANON, Pa. — When Joseph R. Biden Jr. came to the Pittsburgh suburbsin 2018 to stump for Conor Lamb’s long shot special election campaign, he made a pitch directly to the sort of blue-collar union workers who had abandoned the Democratic Party when Hillary Clinton was on the ballot.

“I don’t know all of you personally, but I know you,” Mr. Biden said at a rally a week before Mr. Lamb became the first Democrat to flip a Republican House seat during Donald Trump’s presidency. “I know this state. I know this region. I know what it’s made up of. I know the values that underpin all of what you believe in — family, community, again, not leaving anybody behind.”

Two and a half years later, Mr. Biden is preparing for a virtual party convention, beginning on Monday, that will formally install him as the Democratic Party’s 2020 presidential nominee. He arrived at this moment with a sizable lead over President Trump in the polls, using a playbook first employed to success by Mr. Lamb two years ago, and then borrowed by dozens of Democrats during the midterm elections later that year.

Mr. Biden has repeatedly returned to the same themes and strategies that supported Mr. Lamb to a surprise, if razor-thin, victory in a district that Mr. Trump carried by about 20 points in 2016 — and where Democrats were so insignificant that they had not fielded a candidate since 2012.

Honest to god, I don’t know why these people get good paying gigs at major news papers. There must be good money in David Brooks style wishful thinking about how there are still vast tracts of Trump supporters in Pittsburgh and its suburbs. Keep pushing that narrative and it will still not resemble reality on Election Day 2020 but we must give the illusion of this city crawling with MAGAs.

Let me set the record straight because I actually live in Conor Lamb’s district- his NEW district.

In 2018, when Conor Lamb ran for Congress, his residence was in Mt Lebanon and was part of a district where certain suburbs of Pittsburgh that were likely to vote blue were bitten off by a bizarre and serpentine district that consisted of exurban and rural territory that was red.

The reason that district went reliably red was because the blue suburbs were diluted by this gigantic sea of red. It’s sparsely populated but there was a lot of it, thanks to the Republican house created districts later ruled as illegal by the PA Supreme Court.

Lamb barely squeaked out a win in that old district, which should be an indication of the level of disgust with Trump if you can swing it by 20 points in 2 years. Yes, Lamb appealed to veterans. Yes, he’s a catholic who teeters on a knife edge about abortion. Yes, he’s a hunter. There are a lot of them around here. Yes, yes, yes, he is moderate to a fault. That’s how he won. He was just this side of not offensive to the VFW and white guys.

But when he ran again in November, he was running in a different district. Mike Doyle had most of Pittsburgh. But when the district was redrawn, a hefty chunk of Doyle’s district went to Conor Lamb and a lot of that red snakey thing that used to be Lamb’s district got reapportioned elsewhere. The bottom line is that Lamb is now running in a much more evenly divided district.

How do I know this? I live in the chunk that Lamb acquired. This chunk is BLUE. It’s always going to be blue. You will never ever get this chunk to vote for Trump under any circumstances. No way, no how. You know all those fierce black women who work their asses off during campaign season? This is their territory. I have had the privilege of working with them.

So, Conor Lamb does not have to kiss the asses of the old white veteran dudes quite as much as he did in early 2018. We gave him a comfortable win in November 2018. You’re welcome, Mr Lamb.

But woebetide Mr. Lamb if he thinks he can safely ignore this chunk in the future. I think that crap has an expiration date and will confidently predict that this chunk will find someone to primary him someday if he strays too much towards the conservative edge. This chunk has one of the largest suburbs in Pittsburgh, a section that is just ripe for an influx of young professionals looking for starter homes in leafy tree lined streets near up and coming river towns.

I don’t know what Biden can learn from Lamb’s strategy in 2018. Allegheny county went ridiculously strongly for Hillary Clinton in 2016. She got more votes than Obama did in 2012. I’m going to predict that Biden will do as well here this year. That’s not to say that he should ignore this part of the state but Pittsburgh is no East Jabip Trump country and Conor now has a lot more Appalachian elites in his district than he did 2 years ago.

Epstein needs to get out more. Or at least do his effing homework.