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      As usual, use this for topics unrelated to recent posts. Since the blog has been all Covid, all the time this last week, this is a good place to discuss other issues. The results of the work I do, like this article, are free, but food isn’t, so if you value my work, please DONATE […]
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Correcting the record.

Trump compared Coronavirus to the flu just now and said flu causes more deaths.

According to the briefing from the CDC yesterday, the fatality rate from Coronavirus is 2-4%, about the same as the Spanish flu of 1918.

Regular seasonal influenza is about .7%. It just looks higher right now because the flu is a global phenomenon.

But Coronavirus is expected to go global as well.

Let’s assume that Coronavirus is pandemic and compare it to the seasonal flu. The population of earth is 8 Billion people.

Deaths from Covid19= (8,000,000,000)(.02)

That’s 160,000,000 possible deaths.

Deaths from flu = (8,000,000,000)(.007)

That’s 56,000,000 possible deaths.

I’m saying possible because there will probably be fewer than 8 billion infected by either virus. Still, the difference is YUGE and we’re taking the lower limit for Covid19. Depending on your national healthcare system and whether your country is run by Trump, the number could be higher or lower.

But no matter how you slice it, flu is not nearly as bad.

The good news is that your body can survive it if you get treatment and support until your immune system kicks in. The bad news is Coronavirus is a lot rougher on the body in the meantime.

This is INSANE

Look, I’m not trying to panic people but I have respect for nature. You should be calm and ready.

But this attack on scientists based on a loyalty test is not productive. In fact, it’s likely to make the situation worse. Does anyone believe the information coming from China? We are right to be skeptical because CHINA has a habit of destroying and discrediting its scientists and medical professionals who try to sound the alarm. It’s what authoritarian countries do.

Do we want to be like China??

How about India, which inexplicably and defying all of the laws of epidemiology has only three cases in a country with over a billion people in it. Can we actually trust those numbers? Of course we can’t. But that’s what Modi’s government is reporting while it wages a stupid internal war on Muslims.

We don’t have time for this, people. If you want to interrogate Messonier’s political leanings, take it up with her after the pandemic is under control. Right now, scientists are working on a very limited budget due to Trump’s reckless attacks on the NIH, CDC and the pandemic response departments of the DHS and NHS.

Call me pessimistic but I can almost hear Trump try to assure the public that everything is in control because he has sealed our borders. As if viruses ever respected a border.

It’s too late for that. The barn door is still open and the horses are running free- everywhere. If the JHU tracker is predictive at all we can probably expect to see a sharp rise in infections in about a week.

As for the stock market, if you voted or supported a deeply incompetent Trump because you thought your 401k would grow indefinitely, well, you’re just going to have to learn the hard way. Any number of natural disasters might have brought the market down. Or even just waiting for the tariffs to take their bite. Or any of a number of ill-considered and selfish market manipulations that would make the early 20th century robber barons blush with envy. We are all living a very precarious existence right now. You should have demanded that the government pay back its IOUs yo the social security trust fund.

I would hope this will be a wake up call for the Trumpers after they see that Trump’s primary concern is his own re-election. Screw all the people who are about to become very sick because he refused to pay for proactive measures.

Nature has a way of leveling our plans. And Trump is way over his head. But Nancy Messonnier is just a scientist. Stop foaming at the mouth over her telling the truth.

******************

Buckle up, peeps. Here we go:

What’s going on with India?? #Coronavirus

I’m moving this up from the bottom of the previous post because I’m starting to wonder what’s going on.

In the past month, the Covid 19 tracker shows 3 cases of disease in India.

This is potentially a HUGE problem that seems to have gotten little attention. India is home to over 1 Billion people and it’s close to China. How do we explain the fact that China has a slew of cases, Iran is starting to get hammered, but there are only three cases in India?

Looks hinky to me. 

Here’s why this is serious. We have a lot of IT workers from India. I work with them. They are dedicated professionals. But they tend to visit home for prolonged periods of time. If India is saying that as a country, it is largely immune to this virus, then we are potentially not monitoring the epidemic as well as we should. 

Many Indians I know are US citizens and I have no reason to believe that any of them would knowingly bring back a virus from home without telling anyone. On the other hand, our immigration system is so messed up that saying something might get you sent to Oklahoma – Kansas. Shouldn’t we know what’s going on in India so we can plan appropriately? Potentially, there are whole office buildings in major cities that are affected. Right now. And we don’t know it. 

Oh-klahoma? #Coronavirus

Still no panicking, I hope. But you might want to just casually ask your employer if there is an isolation plan. Office workers can work from home. I’m guessing that if you own a small business without much public contact, you can probably still get stuff done as long as everyone goes straight home after work.

Anyway, better to have a plan in advance before Stephen Miller gets appointee pandemic czar and throws us all into detention camps where we have to drink water from the toilet.

Back to today’s topic.

Yesterday, as I was perusing the Coronavirus tracker on JHU’s website, as is my habit because I just can’t quit the geek in me, I noticed that there was a big round spot right on the Oklahoma-Kansas border. Yep, seemingly overnight, Oklahoma had bloomed to 36 cases. What are the chances? It was so interesting that I took a pic and sent it to another geek friend of mine and now I am sharing it with you:

So I pulled out my trusty google map and tried to figure out what’s out there where the buffalo roam. There’s not much. There’s one weird border town that is owned by an energy LLC but that is about it. Someone tell me if I was too far left or right and missed the big army base.

So, anyway, I checked the tracker this morning to see if that big spot in Oklahoma had grown.

Good news, friends! It disappeared. Yep, there are no Coronavirus cases hanging out in Oklahoma. Whew! It’s going to be ok.

Does someone have a good explanation? It’s not like the other spots in America got slightly bigger. The Covid19 cases in Oklahoma are simply gone.

American ingenuity. We’re amazing.

Or

These are not the Covid19 cases you’ve been looking for.

Meanwhile, the creators of the tracker have probably been sacked. And who knows, maybe Nancy Messonnier at the CDC who pulled the alarm bell as well.

*********^

Damn my f}#^ing curiosity. The closest town to that spot in Oklahoma appeared to be Coffeyville, Kansas. So, I went to Wikipedia for a quick overview of the Coffeyville economy and found THIS:

The reference is somewhat ambiguous. Did amazon close this fulfillment center in 2015 or didn’t it?

Inquiring minds want to know.

****************

It just keeps getting weirder. That old fulfillment center in Coffeyville, Kansas was bought by some Wisconsin real estate developers:

It’s probably nothing. Or maybe it’s 900,000 square feet of empty space just sitting around waiting for a purpose.

*****************

Enough with conspiracy theories. Let’s talk about something real.

In the past month, the Covid 19 tracker shows 3 cases of disease in India.

This is a HUGE problem that seems to have gotten little attention. India is home to over 1 Billion people and it’s close to China. How do we explain the fact that China has a slew of cases, Iran is starting to get hammered, but there are only three cases in India?

Looks hinky to me.

Here’s why this is serious. We have a lot of IT workers from India. I work with them. They are dedicated professionals. But they tend to visit home for prolonged periods of time. If India is saying that as a country, it is largely immune to this virus, then we are potentially not monitoring the epidemic as well as we should.

Many Indians I know are US citizens and I have no reason to believe that any of them would knowingly bring back a virus from home without telling anyone. On the other hand, our immigration system is so messed up that saying something might get you sent to Oklahoma – Kansas. Shouldn’t we know what’s going on in India so we can plan appropriately? Potentially, there are whole office buildings in major cities that are affected. Right now. And we don’t know it.

Just saying.