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      As you’d expect from the title, both more and less than it seems. The impact on oil prices is not that big a deal, despite the screaming. If they were to, say, wind up at $75/barrel for a few months, well the last time we had prices that high was… less than a year ago. […]
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Here’s why you can’t count on Susan Collins.

Senator Susan Collins has been the Democrats’ Lucy with the football since forever. She indicates her willingness to buck her party but she always ALWAYS folds when the final vote comes. Oh, Trump promised her something on the healthcare bill that he reneged on and disappointed Collins? Tsk, tsk. How could she be so naive? Oh, please, Collins knew there were no guarantees. It’s just what she does. Apparently, Maine has just enough crunchy granola types to keep things interesting but not enough to make her actually, you know, fear anything from them.

Anyway, there’s a very good reason why you should just cross Collins off your list for support when it comes to the next supreme. Court justice and here it is:

See that green patch where Maine is in the upper right corner? That green indicates that Maine is one of only 8 states in the union that explicitly protects abortion. It’s probably a state constitution thing. I’m only speculating. If anything, Maine could become a tourist destination. Stephen King has been working diligently to make Maine the scariest state in the country but you never know. A Supreme Court decision might turn all that around.

So, Collins doesn’t really need to defend Roe v Wade on a national level. What does she care as long as her own personal constituents aren’t affected? They’ve got theirs, go get you’re own. And while PA women can go to Maryland and Arizona women could take a few days to visit San Diego, you’re kind of screwed if you live in Colorado or Illinois where abortion law is vague and there’s no clinic for hundreds and hundreds of miles.

But why should Collins worry about that? Is someone from North Dakota going to vote for her? Heck no. So she’ll be a yes vote for whoever Trump nominates unless there’s a more compelling reason to not vote for him or her. There is one extremely good reason why no Republican Senator with a thinking brain should appoint anyone Trump nominates.

But is ain’t abortion.

And let’s face it. The battle lines on abortion have been drawn for decades now. Very few people on either side are persuadable. And you now know why you can’t count on Collins, if you ever could.

So, if I was the loyal opposition, I’d stop getting hysterical over abortion. There’s not a damn thing you can do about it unless you control the senate, which we don’t.

What you have to do is persuade each senator that opposing Trump for a different reason is in their best interests. And if I were the Democrats putting the pieces together on how far the Trump scandal has infiltrated the GOP, I’d think about when it would be strategically advantageous to torch that powder they’ve been sitting on.

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