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  • The Confluence

    The Confluence

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    • Rationality Is A Process, Not A Conclusion (Nuclear Weapons Edition)
      A lot of mistakes come from assuming rationality means “thinks the same way I do” rather than “reasons from premises I might not share.” Left than 1/1000 economists predicted the financial collapse, because they reasoned from assumptions like “the market is self-correcting” or “housing prices never go down.” (Sometimes both at the same time, which is rarely […]
  • Top Posts

The NYTimes op/Ed page becomes the new DK rec diary list

The first (please let it be the last) Why I’m supporting candidate X conversion diary.

Im really beginning to hate primary season.