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    • Know Your Enemies
      An enemy is someone who means you harm and has the means to inflict it. A friend is someone who has wants to do good for you, and has the means to bestow it. I once wrote primarily to predict and to change the world. I now write to help a few people, those who […]
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It’s Almost the Weekend News

Good Morning, it’s Friday almost-the Thirteenth! What’s going on with you today?

Check out what almost-First Lady Cindy McCain is up to:

Cindy McCain does video opposing DADT, accuses ‘our government’ of sending signal that bullying is okay – her hubbie is the lead defender of DADT

John McCain is leading the filibuster against the “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” “repeal” legislation in the Senate (it’s not an actual repeal, but we’ll leave that for another time). Today, Cindy McCain joined a number of celebrities in a video about gay youth suicide and bullying. Mrs. McCain’s part of the video condemned DADT and then accused our government of sending bullies a message that what they do is okay.

The woman basically accused her husband of sharing the blame for gay kids killing themselves.

Just one little quibble there, Mr. Aravosis – the guy YOU helped put in the White House is the lead defender of DADT. As Anglachel put it: He’s Your Son of a Bitch. (I love a good rant)

Next we have an almost-merger of two almost-respectable magazines.

Observer Exclusive: Newsweek and Daily Beast to Merge

Newsweek and The Daily Beast will announce tomorrow morning that the two publications will merge, a source close to the deal tells The Observer.

It will be a 50-50 merger of the two companies. The editorial staffs will combine under the editorship of Tina Brown, who will again run a high-profile glossy.

Is she almost-running? Oh, you betcha!

Sarah Palin plans heartland tour

Sarah Palin — accompanied at times by family members — later this month will launch a nine-day, 16-stop signing tour for her new book, “America by Heart: Reflections on Family, Faith, and Flag.”

Among the destinations sure to get buzz: Des Moines and Spirit Lake, Iowa.

Now she’ll have (ghost) written two books by her mid-forties, which ties her with you-know-who.

Nobody knows who’s gonna win the POTUS race in 2012, but Nate Silver thinks he almost-knows for sure who won’t:

2012 Contenders to Bet Against

I’m not quite sure whom I’d call the odds-on favorite to capture the Republican presidential nomination in 2012. But I have a pretty good idea of who I’d bet against.


Based on the objective indicators — which is to say, the polls — you have four clear front-runners: Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee and Newt Gingrich. Each has comfortably over 80 percent name recognition among Republicans, and they are about 10 points ahead of any other candidates in trial heats that have tested various combinations of the candidates against one another. Each is also pretty well liked among Republicans. All have strong television presences and the makings of a campaign infrastructure. They all have pretty distinct brands. Three of the four — Ms. Palin (Tea Party conservatives), Mr. Huckabee (southern and religious conservatives) and Mr. Romney (moderates and fiscal conservatives) — have fairly natural constituencies within the Republican base. Mr. Gingrich, whose demographics probably overlap to some extent with Ms. Palin’s, is perhaps the exception.


What is odd then is that candidates like Tim Pawlenty, the outgoing Minnesota governor, and Senator John Thune of South Dakota are being discussed so much among insiders. Hotline ranks them as the 2nd and 3rd most likely Republican nominees, respectively, but those are the candidates whom I’d bet against at the odds that Intrade is offering.

The theory seems to be that all of the front-runners are flawed in some way, which is undoubtedly true. But if one of the front-runners flops in some way once the campaign actually begins, I don’t see why it wouldn’t be one of the other front-runners who would pick up their slack: if Sarah Palin’s campaign gets off to a poor start, for instance, it is probably Mr. Gingrich — not Mr. Pawlenty or Mr. Thune — who would get first dibs on her votes.

If you’re looking for something to do this almost-weekend, here’s a couple movies being released today:

60 Responses

  1. Bobby Jindal talks about Barack Obama in new book

    Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal uses a new book to portray President Obama as disconnected from the Gulf oil spill, charging that he was more focused on the political aftermath than the actual impact of the crisis.

    Jindal recounts a pair of private conversations with the president which paint him as consumed with how his actions were being perceived.

    On Obama’s first trip to Louisiana following the disaster, the governor describes how the president took him aside on the tarmac after arriving to complain about a letter that Jindal had sent to the administration requesting authorization for food stamps for those who had lost their jobs because of the spill.

    As Jindal describes it, the letter was entirely routine yet Obama was angry and concerned about looking bad.

    “Careful,” he quotes the president as warning him, “this is going to get bad for everyone.”

    Nearby on the tarmac, Jindal recalls, then White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel was chewing out his own chief of staff, Timmy Teepell.

    “If you have a problem pick up the f-n’ phone,” Jindal quotes Emanuel telling Teepell.

    The governor asserts that the White House had tipped off reporters to watch the exchange on the New Orleans tarmac that Sunday in May and deemed it a “press stunt” that symbolized what’s wrong with Washington.

    “Political posturing becomes more important than reality,” he writes.

    • Jindal recounts a pair of private conversations with the president which paint him as consumed with how his actions were being perceived.
      As Jindal describes it, the letter was entirely routine yet Obama was angry and concerned about looking bad.

      Ironically, he was so consumed with his own appearance, that the appearance of prioritizing his own political image is what hurt him the most. If he had just focused on the f*cking problem, he would have actually improved his image. It’s who he is–always has been, and always will be. The Narcissist in Chief.

      Also, Jindal points out that it is “what is wrong with Washington.” Wasn’t O supposed to CHANGE all of that? That was his entire shtick.

      • Wasn’t O supposed to CHANGE all of that?

        I do the jokes here, okay?

      • That sounds like classic Obama to me. He can’t even get off the d@mn tarmac before he takes someone aside to chew them out. It reminds me of the time that he cornered Lieberman on the Senate floor to have words with him.

        And notice, it was not about some failure on Jindal’s part to do the right thing, it was about 0’s image possibly getting tarnished (newsflash, 0, you’ve got worse problems). Then he makes a threat–typical bully posturing.

        Narcissist, bully, incompetent–I am sick of him. Luckily, I think the country is getting sick of him too.

        Give us a real president!!!

  2. W’s worst moment was when he, W was called names. The oil kill was a threat to how Obama would look…Were those two separated at birth?
    Anyway , here’s a morning sneeze about our favorite newspaper

  3. Democrats circa 2010

    • I don’t know about anyone else but I don’t want to live in a nation that is too cold-hearted to provide medical care to pregnant women just because they are here illegally.

      Actually, I can’t think of ANY reason to refuse to provide medical care to a pregnant woman.

  4. I like ol’ Cindy McCain.

    Things must hellish in that household….

    • John Boy better be nice cuz it’s her money – she’s the heiress to a major beer distributorship.

      My daddy said the perfect “10” is a seven who owns a liquor store.

      That makes Cindy Mac a “15”

  5. Denzel did the remake of Pelham 1-2-3 just a few years ago. Now, another movie about a runaway train. Hollywood has run out of imagination imo.

  6. The Hijacked Commission

    Count me among those who always believed that President Obama made a big mistake when he created the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform — a supposedly bipartisan panel charged with coming up with solutions to the nation’s long-run fiscal problems. It seemed obvious, as soon as the commission’s membership was announced, that “bipartisanship” would mean what it so often does in Washington: a compromise between the center-right and the hard-right.

    My misgivings increased as we got a better feel for the views of the commission’s co-chairmen. It soon became clear that Erskine Bowles, the Democratic co-chairman, had a very Republican-sounding small-government agenda. Meanwhile, Alan Simpson, the Republican co-chairman, revealed the kind of honest broker he is by sending an abusive e-mail to the executive director of the National Older Women’s League in which he described Social Security as being “like a milk cow with 310 million tits.”

    We’ve known for a long time, then, that nothing good would come from the commission. But on Wednesday, when the co-chairmen released a PowerPoint outlining their proposal, it was even worse than the cynics expected.


    It’s no mystery what has happened on the deficit commission: as so often happens in modern Washington, a process meant to deal with real problems has been hijacked on behalf of an ideological agenda. Under the guise of facing our fiscal problems, Mr. Bowles and Mr. Simpson are trying to smuggle in the same old, same old — tax cuts for the rich and erosion of the social safety net.


    If one creates a commission and staffs it full of ducks, how can a sane, honest person be surprised when it quacks like a duck?

    Failure was the plan

    • We need to be very scared about this…last night Chuck “kneepads” Todd was talking about how this “has legs”.

      • There is absolutely nothing to be worried about.

        Unless you plan to retire someday.

        Or care about someone who does.

        • It’s not just the retirees who get stabbed. Anyone who bought a house, and believed that the interest of the mortgage is deductible, would have a huge tax increase. That proposal of eliminating the mortgage deduction would finish the housing industry.

          • Pretty much. There must still be a lot of bad assets on the banks’ books. Maybe they want a do-over and start from scratch.

          • Mr. Potter: What does that get us? A discontented, lazy rabble instead of a thrifty working class.

            George Bailey: Just a minute – just a minute. Now, hold on, Mr. Potter. You’re right when you say my father was no businessman. I know that. Why he ever started this cheap, penny-ante Building and Loan, I’ll never know. But neither you nor anyone else can say anything against his character, because his whole life was – why, in the twenty-five years since he and Uncle Billy started this thing, he never once thought of himself. Isn’t that right, Uncle Billy? He didn’t save enough money to send Harry to school, let alone me. But he did help a few people get out of your slums, Mr. Potter, and what’s wrong with that? Why – here, you’re all businessmen here. Doesn’t it make them better citizens? Doesn’t it make them better customers? You – you said – what’d you say a minute ago? They had to wait and save their money before they even ought to think of a decent home. Wait? Wait for what? Until their children grow up and leave them? Until they’re so old and broken down that they… Do you know how long it takes a working man to save five thousand dollars? Just remember this, Mr. Potter, that this rabble you’re talking about… they do most of the working and paying and living and dying in this community. Well, is it too much to have them work and pay and live and die in a couple of decent rooms and a bath? Anyway, my father didn’t think so. People were human beings to him. But to you, a warped, frustrated old man, they’re cattle. Well, in my book he died a much richer man than you’ll ever be.

          • No kidding, Dario. Especially in places like California where prices are so high and many people rely on that mortgage deduction to make things work.

    • The guys on NBC news (one of those gravel-talkers) said it sounded good to him. Just like that. Simple.

      Tax Cuts for him devastation for us.

    • From O-ville, Dudie preview

      Obama wants to slash Social Security across the board. That’s the only reason that one hires Simpson and Bowles. Otherwise, it’s like hiring John Gotti to do the gardening.

  7. I’m gonna warn everybody now it’s gonna be a bad weekend for me.

    No Giants or Raiders games to watch.

    I hate going cold turkey.

  8. They should suspend Olbermann more often.

    Olbermann’s first show back attracted 1.5 million viewers — about 50 percent more than usually come to his prime-time show. And after that, his lead-out, Rachel Maddow, snagged more than 1.3 million viewers — a nice spike relative to her October average of 953,000. As if that weren’t enough, Lawrence O’Donnell’s MSNBC show bagged nearly 1 million viewers at 10; he’d averaged about 784,000 in October.

    • They should suspend him from a tree branch with some rope.

      By his feet – and then use him as a pinata.

      • FYI the animosity.

        Way back when there was a rumor going around that either the late Tim Russert or Chris Mathews thought they had a lock on the job as Bill Clinton’s press secretary. That job went to Margaret Jane “Dee Dee” Myers and they hated the Clintons ever since.

        I have never been able to confirm this so take it with a large grain of salt.

    • Why? So that more people watch the idiot. I can definitely live without people watching the idiot.

  9. Lambert:

    What we don’t really have a word for is the most powerful Versailles mindfuck of all, which, in sentence form, is “One side is lying, and the other side is not telling the truth.” We tend to assume — and “false-ism” may reinforce this — that the opposite side of a lie is the truth. But in Versailles, the opposite side of an untruth is another untruth. (Reduce the deficit now, the hawkish position, and reduce the deficit later, the dovish position, are both untruths.) Even getting our minds around this idea is hard, and even harder is finding the mot juste for it.


  10. I admire John McCain for the way he responds to the women around him. Hiring them for one, paying them a decent wage for another. But also Cindy McCain has very publicly stood up for her beliefs in opposition to her husband’s and he has been gracious about it. Meagan McCain has also been off doing her own thing and John McCain doesn’t put them down or try to control them. It’s almost as if he believes women are people, too.

    Also it’s an odd quirk of Dems, they can have a majority in both houses and the presidency, but they can’t ever get anything done because one Republican is “leading the opposition.” Here after the mid terms, Dems still control the senate but now they really can’t get anything done because the minority party is now a bigger minority party. I swear there could be one lone Republican left standing in the entire country and Dems would be afraid to take a stand because he might “fillibuster.” After a while you start getting the impression that one Republican has more power than 50 Dems. That’s just silly.

  11. Why we need a third party of (radical) centrists

    No, you moron, we need a SECOND party!


    • That article is getting a lot of play on facebook, heavy sharing with vigorous head nodding. 🙂

    • Radical centrists? Oh Lawd. Who are these people? There is nothing remotely liberal about Obama or his cohorts in Congress.

    • I mean, I agree with him on one thing, these entire “debate” about making the middle class tax cuts “permanent” while allowing the cuts for the wealth to (eventually) expire is false. It wasn’t long ago when even those on the Left admitted eventually Bush’s tax cuts (for everyone) would have to expire or be replaced by new taxes. However, the writer tries to entice you with his Radical middle man making such an argument and then doesn’t tell you how these taxes would be distributed. And, that’s where the core argument between conservatives and liberals lies and will continue to lie(never mind Obama and his ilk, they are NOT liberals, they are conservatives willing to throw around the idea of “permanent” tax cuts as much as their Republican counterparts, just for a different base).

      • I don’t understand when liberals started hating tax cuts and acting as if they were the root of all evil. Bill Clinton, in spite of the spin, actually reduced quite a few taxes and created prosperity. He greatly increased the earned income credit, he gave us the small business deduction for our home offices.

        It’s as if the R’s have said so many times that Dems just want to raise your taxes, that now Dems believe it. Today people seem to think that tax increases are part of the liberal agenda and that lowering taxes is a Republican thing. It didn’t use to be like this.

        • Point taken, but tax cuts for the wealthiest 2% still may be a questionable stimulus. And the long term tax cut formulation built into the austerity commission proposal will help higher income groups and hurt the middle class. Both are premised on trickle down expectations that may be optimistic given the current state of the economy and level of public debt – twice as high in nominal terms as it was under Bill Clinton. That said, it looks like an extension of the Bush tax cuts for the middle class will pass.

        • Wha? No one hates tax cuts. How the hell did you get that from what I wrote?

  12. Great video. But a comment about Gene Simmons giving lectures on bullying … did anyone hear his interview with Terri Gross on NPR years back? Talk about bullying in action.

  13. That Newsweek / Daily Beast merger has the benefit of dissolving two into one. So, will NewsBeast have double the PDS?

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