• Tips gratefully accepted here. Thanks!:

  • Recent Comments

    William on Another “Morning After…
    Seagrl on Another “Morning After…
    Seagrl on Another “Morning After…
    Ga6thDem on Another “Morning After…
    William on Another “Morning After…
    Ga6thDem on Another “Morning After…
    Ga6thDem on Another “Morning After…
    William on Another “Morning After…
    Alessandro Machi on Another “Morning After…
    jmac on Another “Morning After…
    Propertius on It is Time for Drastic Ac…
    jmac on It is Time for Drastic Ac…
    James Bowater on It is Time for Drastic Ac…
    William on WORDLE!
    jmac on WORDLE!
  • Categories


  • Tags

    abortion Add new tag Afghanistan Al Franken Anglachel Atrios bankers Barack Obama Bernie Sanders big pharma Bill Clinton cocktails Conflucians Say Dailykos Democratic Party Democrats Digby DNC Donald Trump Donna Brazile Economy Elizabeth Warren feminism Florida Fox News General Glenn Beck Glenn Greenwald Goldman Sachs health care Health Care Reform Hillary Clinton Howard Dean John Edwards John McCain Jon Corzine Karl Rove Matt Taibbi Media medicare Michelle Obama Michigan misogyny Mitt Romney Morning Edition Morning News Links Nancy Pelosi New Jersey news NO WE WON'T Obama Obamacare OccupyWallStreet occupy wall street Open thread Paul Krugman Politics Presidential Election 2008 PUMA racism Republicans research Sarah Palin sexism Single Payer snark Social Security Supreme Court Terry Gross Texas Tim Geithner unemployment Wall Street WikiLeaks women
  • Archives

  • History

  • RSS Paul Krugman: Conscience of a Liberal

  • The Confluence

    The Confluence

  • RSS Suburban Guerrilla

    • Yet another criminal plot
      NEW: A newly released Census Bureau email details the scope of former President Donald Trump administration's attempts to tamper with the 2020 census, including pressuring civil servants to alter plans for protecting privacy and producing accurate datahttps://t.co/TPz5YoZNC5 — Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) (@hansilowang) January 15, 2022
  • RSS Ian Welsh

    • Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – January 16, 2022
      Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – January 16, 2022 by Tony Wikrent Strategic Political Economy [Twitter, via Naked Capitalism 1-10-2022] World's greatest democracy pic.twitter.com/Hmnmhptxiv — Mary Tracy (@MaryTracy) January 9, 2022 . Heather Cox Richardson, January 14, 2022 [Letters from an American] Yesterday, by a vote of 6 to 3, the Supreme Court […]
  • Top Posts

Tucsonlynn checks in

Tucsonlynn, our intrepid Confluentian from Arizona, is in El Paso, Texas this week and sent in the following:

El Paso is an interesting town. I was apprehensive about coming here, but the democrats rule this city!
Campaign signs for every local candidate are all over the place, the Hillary office is a firestorm of activity, the locals are all interested in what is going on…this has been a really good experience and great lesson in how to run campaigns.
The hotel I am in has one of the most beautiful lobby bars in the world, it makes the expensive swill go down better.

and a little later…

I had a semi wonderful/bad experience today, not really related to Hillary, but ..
I drove my own old car here from Tucson.
No problems, no big deal, but today, driving around planting signs, being visible, I heard banging and clangin. I stopped, a nice man yells from across the street, lady, it’s your exhaust pipe!. Shit. now what? No AAA, no that would be too sensible of me..I gingerly make my way back to my hotel, park back in the garage and ask Guillermo the bellman and my new best friend if there is anyone that can tie it up till I can get it to a shop. I may as well have gone to the lovely bar, it all got taken care of. Guillermo got Carlos and Eddie from engineering to do a temporary fix, they came back and said they could permanently fix it if I wanted them to, to save me money, they gave me directions to an auto parts store, I drove thru some really interesting barrio neighborhoods to get there, and practically every house had Hillary signs in the windows and on the fences. The shops in that area all had Hillary rally signs in the windows and it was a great thing to see. I would have missed it had my car not broken.
gqmartinez, this is a very friendly town!

TL: Keep the color commentary flowing. We are there with you in spirit. Or spirits, depending on how good the bar is. (Pics not necessary but ads to our vicarious thrills) 😉

TalkLeft posts some encouraging news on Texas polls. The SUSA poll is the gold standard and they are statistically tied. Obamamentum has slowed significantly,

Get’em in, round’em up, Tucsonlynn!

16 Responses

  1. T-lynn, I really wish I could be there with ya. That’s my hood, baby! This pesky thesis and paper submission deadline have me too busy. I’ll have a shot of espresso for you later today! Get to them Hispanic men, they looooooove their madres (and other women in their lives) and since Hillary has bee looking out for them for decades, she’s near and dear to many of us!

    Good ol’ El Paso. (I grew up 25′ away.) The demographics for El Paso look good for Hill-dogg. That county has similar demographics to NM-2 (where I grew up), which happened to go to Hillary by about 15 points in their “caucus”. BTW, all the polls are showing Hispanics coming back to Hillary and women as well. More thoughts on that later (I hope)…

  2. I am in touch with pacific john. He also is in El Paso. He sends very encouraging reports on the ground. PPP, the Democratic tracking poll, has Hillary up six points in Texas. She has a crushing lead among Latinos, and that’s the difference. Obama is leading only weakly among other voters. Moreover, white males, according to the poll, have switched to Hillary. SUSA effectively has them tied (Obama leads in that poll with less than one percent (0.006). It confirms many of the trends that PPP revealed.

  3. This is a great post from vastleft over at Corrente.

    http://correntewire.com/found_near_dumpster_behind_newsweek_offices

    Let’s hope it’s even funnier tomorrow when HRC sweeps OH and TX.

    What a jackass Jonathan Alter has become, along with all other clowns from MessNBC.

  4. JUST IN from Texas: Obama’s NOT the Messiah!

    Nope, NOT the Messiah! From his two-minute “closer”:

    I’m not a perfect man. And I won’t be a perfect President

    No, he’s not the Messiah after all. It turns out he’s … the Final Solution!

    Who can take can take us in a fundamentally new direction? I’m running to finally solve problems we talk about year after year after year.

    (Sure, we’ll get static on that one. After BarryO’s race-baiting shenanigans, let me respond in advance, to wit: Bite me. And I’ll have a wonkier article later on about how Obama imagines solutions.)

  5. ronk: Love it. Can’t wait for new article. 🙂

  6. From ronk’s link about his new ad:

    “I’m reminded everyday that I’m not a perfect man,”

    He has to be reminded that he’s not perfect?

    In polling, a whole bunch of new polls came out today and all pretty much indicate that Hillary has the big Mo in Texas. I’m going to be on pins and needles tomorrow.

    Go Hillary!

  7. rd – Probably not for today. Until TX/OH, and the coming revaluation of Obama’s political currency, nobody’s hearing anything anyway.

  8. riverdaughter, I don’t know how to add pics to this, but will email you a photo of the lobby bar and if you would like to add it, feel free.
    I had a semi wonderful/bad experience today, not really related to Hillary, but ..
    I drove my own old car here from Tucson.
    No problems, no big deal, but today, driving around planting signs, being visible, I heard banging and clangin. I stopped, a nice man yells from across the street, lady, it’s your exhaust pipe!. Shit. now what? No AAA, no that would be too sensible of me..I gingerly make my way back to my hotel, park back in the garage and ask Guillermo the bellman and my new best friend if there is anyone that can tie it up till I can get it to a shop. I may as well have gone to the lovely bar, it all got taken care of. Guillermo got Carlos and Eddie from engineering to do a temporary fix, they came back and said they could permanently fix it if I wanted them to, to save me money, they gave me directions to an auto parts store, I drove thru some really interesting barrio neighborhoods to get there, and practically every house had Hillary signs in the windows and on the fences. The shops in that area all had Hillary rally signs in the windows and it was a great thing to see. I would have missed it had my car not broken.
    gqmartinez, this is a very friendly town!

  9. Tucsonlynn: Thanks for that update. Sorry about your car. Is there anything we can do?
    Yes pics would be nice. I sent your email address an invitation to post. Please feel free to use it. It’s very encouraging to hear of so many signs for her.
    It made MY day. That and getting this stupid calculation to run.
    🙂

  10. tucsonlynn, Thanks for sharing your stories. I wish I could be there too. I can almost see the streets with their signs and it makes me so hopeful.

    Thank you for being there.

    And riverdaughter, I’m finally having fun reading the polls. I’m so thankful for Tina Fey — it’s like she slapped some sense into the entire country. And we’re slowly waking from a fog. Thank you for giving us a place to share the experience.

    And for your wonderful posts. 🙂

  11. WS, my (wo)man! You’re supposed to be all over the SUSA poll for me :o). Perhaps a prior thread that I’m too busy to scroll to.

    Their Hispanic Hillary support seems right. Its verified by other polls as well as a poll specific to Hispanics. SUSA has them making up 32% (64–33 Hillary) and African-Americans making up 17% (18-79 Obama). Whites lean Hillary (50-46) and make up 48%. The thing that jumped out to me was “other” which went 25-70 for Obama (and making up 4%). I’m guessing that includes Asian-American and Native American. The Asian Americans have been Hillary’s strongest support group so I’m not sure I buy that number. (Haven’t seen reliable Native American data.)

    With Hispanics coming home to Hillary in a tight race, they may just come out in larger than expected numbers and help carry Hillary to victory like we did in CA (I was one of them!). Two things I want to see with exit polls tomorrow in TX: women higher than 53% (driven by increased white, older women participation!) and 35% Hispanic turnout. Obama has a lock on the African-American vote and the Angry White Male vote so she’s going to have to make up for it with her base.

    Oh yeah, Democrats in TX, get your rears to the friggin polls! Its your Party and your decision. Don’t let the Republicans chose your nominee! If Dems are at least 80% of the turnout, I’m looking forward to practicing Senora Presidente! A win by Hill and the media will be bringing up Rezko, NAFTAgate, etc. as reasons for Obama’s slide. He’ll have a hard time recovering from such negative press. And if there is a big discrepency between primary and caucus (like in WA state) a very, very strong case against caucuses and their results can be made!

  12. riverdaughter, I’m sorry to butt in again but, I read a lovely piece at MyDD and I think everyone else would like it too: Factory Workers at Sunrise. I’m still feeling a little misty from it.

  13. gqm — I suspect Obamaniacs have minused Latino votes by palying the race card too aggressively. “What are you, prejudiced?” etc

    That’s what I get from some contacts (none in TX).

    BTW, I’m a big NM-02 nut … lost a longer post to the ethers … more on that after Texas.

  14. I’m hoping to help out NM-2 during this cycle, ronk. If I can land a job with the state (of NM), I’d be able to. If not, I’ll be in boring old DC. Love to hear what others think about NM-2.

  15. gqm, I’m a guy and a proud Hillary supporter!

    Great job on the SUSA poll breakdown too, and like you said, its all about turnout. One of the most interesting parts of the SUSA poll was that Hillary supporters were firmer than Obama supporters. Among Hillary supporters, 50% have minds made up and 38% said they could change their minds. Among Obama supporters, 48% have minds made up and 48% said they could change their minds.

    Also, the under 50 vote in the SUSA poll is at 57% of the Texan electorate. In California, the under 50 vote was 50%, the highest in any state so far. If older Americans bring up their percentages, thats better news for Hillary.

  16. Americans are generally nice people. especially the hard working ones who know we are in it together.

    Nice story!

Comments are closed.

%d bloggers like this: